I'm glad to hear that I'm not the only one that sees the single-payer system as the end goal, with this bill being one of the steps. I'm not going to call you a socialist for wanting one, either. As I've said before, I like the
theory of a single-payer system, as long as the
application is done as efficiently as possible, and truly works to raise the affordability, accessibility, and quality of healthcare for every American (Which is one of the goals the President stated for this bill) without incurring job losses, huge debts, or large tax increases.
Do I think the govt can bring down healthcare costs? Yes, but not with this particular method of "reform." Do I think the govt could push for better quality healthcare? Yes, but not while also meeting the goals of bringing down costs and not losing jobs in healthcare.
There will be a trade-off. If you don't pay people for the work they spent tons of money getting degrees to do, then the future generations will be less motivated to get those degrees and take those positions. Also, if the medical care centers are not paid enough for their services, then there will be lower quality of care due to insufficient funds for the necessary equipment, treatments, specialists, etc. If you have 1 healthcare company making the regulations that govern all the others, it will eventually crush those others, creating job loss that will be more than what will be picked up by govt hiring. Statistically, it's highly unlikely that the govt will pick up enough of those who lose their jobs at private firms to justify the losses. The govt will already be staffed for their needs.
I watched a good portion of the town hall meeting that Obama held in Grand Junction, CO, and I learned some rather startling information, so please bare with me, as there is a lot of stuff that came to my attention directly from Obama's answers and information. (I really thought it was funny how Obama would get away from the teleprompter and prepared speech/answers, and then start talking like W... Obama rambles worse than I do!!)
Did you ever stop to think about what you do like about the capitalist model of healthcare, or what parts of it should be kept under the new bill that aren't? Here's one of the things I like about the capitalist side of healthcare-TiLite. Just think if there was no profit incentive for TiLite's makers. What would happen? What happens when the govt tells companies like TiLite "We'll pay you 80cents-on-the-dollar?" Have you ever noticed the questions about availability of equipment on here that come from those outside the US? You think govt-run healthcare isn't part of the cause of that problem?
While it is true that you and I are neither one likely to convince the other, I've been doing a bit of figuring with a calculator, and the numbers have begun to sway me more than the actual bill, or any of the things I had previously heard about it from you or anyone else.
It seems as though this bill is very well thought out, but in a different way than it initially appears to be. Without the numbers, the bill is just a bill, a theory (if you will). It sounds good or bad solely based upon the reader's translation. When you punch in the dollar figures, though, it becomes so much more than just what's written in it's pages. When I started using the figures given out by the President in his town hall meeting, I started to see a strange pattern. It is a pattern of talking about cost effectiveness and affordability, but in reality, the numbers Obama gave showed the opposite to be true. It seems, from the President's own numbers, to be nothing more than a bill designed to help bring our country to it's financial death.
The more I look at these numbers and read the CBO Director's statements, the less I like the reform as a whole. The more I input the incredible numbers of zeros after the 9s and 12s and 46.7s, the more I realize that this reform actually may
never payoff. It certainly cannot meet those requirements publicly set forth by Obama. It may meet those he's privately given the dems, or the requirements his puppetmasters have given him, but not the goals Obama brags to us about.
This bill falls
extremely short of efficiency and cost-effectiveness. How is it cost effective to spend over $900 billion (which, in the town hall meeting, is what the president approximated the bill itself will cost over the next decade) for this reform, to cover 46.7 million people? That's
$19,148/uninsured person. That's what they could have used just the bottom-dollar, base cost of the bill itself to cover. Think about that for a second. (Throw in just a few minor ammendments to Medicare/Medicaid code, and the number of yrs-per-person (and people covered) could vastly increase. All without the need for mass panic or 1,018 pages of HR3200 or billions in advertising money.)
Add in the billions (and the total is still rising) in advertising money that has been spent on both sides of this bill. From transportation to town hall meetings, to tv and radio ads, to internet ads, to selling t-shirts and stickers, to trying to meetings with PhRMA, to borrowing from other countries; they've done it all. And it's all being paid for by our tax dollars, and the ever-growing debt we will leave to our future generations.
Think about how many more Americans could already be covered with that money rather than having to wait for coverage to begin through this bill's enactment. That coverage could be 2 years away or more. Another 2yrs that those uninsured people that Obama claims to care so much about insuring will still be uninsured.
Then add in the high-paid corporate exec-types that will be put on govt payroll (and all their special healthcare plans, limos, jets, helicopters, offices, office supplies, staffers, advisers, etc.) for the new commission to oversee healthcare. I'm for creating jobs, but not at the expense of those jobs all being govt jobs that we will all be forced to pay for through what will eventually have to be huge tax increases. (Kind of reminds me of "taxation without representation." I know the reps are their, but are their votes actually representative of their voters needs/desires/best interests?) If we're going to do that, we might as well (again) just put that money into Medicare/Medicaid or straight into the insurance companies.
Is all this spending really all that cost effective? How can it make it cheaper for our future generations? (It would have to be the extremely distant future, if at all.) How can it be honestly said that all of that spending is justified? I think that there is a bit of reading of the transcript of a particular Q&A session that might interest you. It takes place between Kent Conrad (D-North Dakota) and Doug Elmendorf (Director of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office). Senator Conrad asks the questions, and Mr. Elmendorf's responses are quite the contrary of what the dems have been telling us.
Here is the link for you. Maybe I'm wrong, but it sounds as if even the CBO has a difficult time justifying the reform spending. (I'm not exactly trusting of the news, but a transcript from a Senate Budget Hearing is generally something that would have raised hell if it had been changed in reporting. So I think it's a safe bet that this isn't a Fox-style BS session.)
Also, how about the taxes that we and our future generations will have to pay for the healthcare coverage itself once the bill is passed? I'm just talking about the taxes that will need to be raised in order to pay for the actual medical coverage and medical bills. The basic costs, not the reform part of it. How could that possibly be cost effective when added into the mix of paying for the TRILLIONS of dollars of debt that we incurred under the W administration and the TRILLIONS MORE dollars in debt we have already incurred under the Obama administration? (That's not counting the reform spending that has yet to be done.) Grab a calculator and do some number crunching with me here if you'd like. (I'd suggest one with at least a 20 digit display.) How far down the road is the break-even point going to be? Ever?
When the govt starts charging businesses more taxes to help cover this (which is inevitable, whether anyone believes it or not), isn't it just a backdoor through which they are reaching into the pockets of the employees? If a business gets taxed more and is forced to provide healthcare coverage as well, it won't likely be able to afford to pay everyone, purchase insurance,
and still make any profit, without large price increases. So what happens then? Much higher prices for goods, job losses or salary cuts for the workers, and in many cases, business failures. If my dad's payroll taxes increase by much at all, my dad will be forced fire his employees, or to close his store. I'm sure there are plenty of others who will be forced to do the same. That means a rise in unemployment, a rise in govt (tax dollar) dependency, less competition, and more people being covered by taxes while not paying into the system. Does that sound "Good for America?"
How many other jobs are going to be lost or done away with under this reform? You talk about the drug companies and insurance companies gutting the bill. (The PhRMA and Obama have been going back and forth for some time now.) We'll start with the drug companies. How can the drug companies work against themselves that way? The FDA is supposed to be set up to make sure that drugs/treatments are safe. However, there are plenty of meds that are plenty dangerous. The FDA has lately been interfering with the availability of treatments based on their "decision" that those treatments (adult autologous cells) are drugs that will have to be purchased through drug companies. To me, it seems as though the FDA (a part of the federal govt) is on the side of the drug companies. I could be wrong about that, but take a look at some of the things the FDA has done over the last 15yrs. Starting with this recent one (adult autologous cell decision), and working back through the "morning-after pill" approval for 17yr olds, to those silicone-gel breast implants that they ended up being forced to un-approve. Hmmm...
On to the insurance companies. Did you ever stop to think about the number of jobs that those insurance/drug companies provide? What happens to those jobs? More importantly, what happens to those people?
How many people will want to pay for medical school when they can't make any money because the govt is telling doctors "We will only pay you this much?" I heard Obama say that live on tv from the town hall meeting in Grand Junction. He used the figure "80-cents-on-the-dollar" as a reference. I don't know about you, but I sure as hell wouldn't want to work for somebody who straight up told me he wasn't going to pay me enough for my work to justify me going to school for it. That is what will eventually happen to me under this president's single-payer system. When I become a full time OTA in 2yrs, I will make somewhere between $39,000/yr and $45,000/yr. When the govt payouts are cut due to overspending, the 80cents-on-the-dollar that the govt will be paying cuts the average OTA salary down to $31,200/yr-$36,000/yr. Not much on which to support a family in the city while attending school to obtain an OT certificate and degree. The average salary for an RN for the first few yrs is about $45,000/yr. If the average RN salary gets reduced to 80% of it's current amount, then it will be down to about $36,000/yr as well.
You see now where this is going, I'm sure, but for those that don't, here it is--With govt regulation of healthcare prices
and quality (together), there will also inevitably be a cut in the amount of money that those actually providing that care will be paid (doctors,surgeons, and hospital execs not so much as nurses, nurses aides, therapists, therapy assistants...the "support system" for those doctors and surgeons, if you will). Those people will be forced to spend less because of the salary drops alone. When the taxes increase, those people will be taking home and spending even less. It's quite the declining pattern.
The pres says that the spending on this reform will not put us in anymore debt, and that no family making under $250,000/yr will see any tax increase because of this spending. He also says that jobs will be created, rather than lost, through this reform. That is his justification for this spending. It is mathematically impossible for this spending to not put us in any more debt. Where is the money to pay for it? Is Obama hiding it in his keister? Or is the treasury just going to have a whole lot more bills printed (part of currency devaluation) to cover the costs?
There is
no way that healthcare costs can be lowered while healthcare quality is raised, healthcare can be provided to more people, and jobs sustained/created, without putting us in more debt
and without raising taxes of those making under $250,000/yr
and without lowering incomes of many citizens,
all at the same time. (Those promises have been made by Obama. I'll bet you can find them on video on youtube.) It is mathematically impossible. The dems can't do it, the repubs can't do it, they certainly can't do it together when they're constantly fighting each other for party-line sake.
Unless the govt boys and girls are going to tax the hell out of families making $250,000+/yr (Obama's dividing line), and give up their: 1- special healthcare packages (in favor of the govt plan); 2-large portions of their huge salaries; 3- tax exemptions; 4-social security stealing privileges; 5- medical treatments in other countries; 6- extra jets, helicopters, boats, and gas-guzzling limos/sedans/SUVs; 7- large portions of their govt expense accounts; 8- "get out of jail free" cards. That's the only way they could keep the promises made to the American people. If you see a different way, please tell me. I would really like to see it if there is some miraculous way that the promises made about this reform by President Obama can all be kept at once, as he says they can, because the numbers say otherwise. Sounds like he's either mentally challenged, or trying to BS his way through passing this bill for his puppetmasters.Just like the repubs are trying to BS their way through keeping it from getting passed for their puppetmasters. I'm not picking a political party side here, as I hate the whole idea of having only 2 major parties. I'm picking the side of what I see as best for the benefit of the American people, as I'm sure you are doing as well.
What I came to realize, back in 99 when Clinton was President, is that the govt is nothing more than another corporation. They just happen to have the power to change the rules in the marketplace and stop competition. And their CEO is just a bigger puppet than the CEOs of most other companies. In effect, the govt
is corporate America, and I don't trust any part of it.
I have to say, I don't see how my wife and I could save anything and get (and eventually give) better care at the same time with the new system. My wife and I would likely be paying more. As it is, we have $20 copays for damn near everything but labs (most of those are free), and MRI/CT/X-ray/etc (which are all under $100 a piece I believe). All that comes out of her check for it each month is $35 and some change. It's been pretty difficult getting BC/BS straightened out, but they're starting to come through. Just takes forever for them to pay. Wonder how slow the govt plan payment will be? Considering the slow payments (if any payments at all) from Medicare, I can only imagine worse.
This post has been edited by Jax: 17 August 2009 - 01:08 AM